Gideon's Blog |
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Tuesday, May 21, 2002
Nice article by Pejman Yousefzadeh about how to foment revolution in Iran. He correctly diagnoses that society as ripe for a pro-Western upheaval. And, as readers of this space know, I have frequently made the argument that revolution in Iran is the strategic key to winning the global war on Islamofascism - more than the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, the trial and execution of Yasser Arafat, or the liberation of Arabian oil from the Saudis. And he's got a couple of good suggestions for how to increase the pressure: a propaganda war via VOA and National Iranian Television and a military strike against Iraq. I think he may have the Iraq part backwards, though. While an American war in Iraq might very well bring about the collapse of the Iranian mullahocracy, it's even more true that revolution in Iran would make a war against Iraq ludicrously easy. My own preference for military action to destabilize Iran: Lebanon. Take out Hizballah and warn Iran to stay out or face the consequences. The mullahs have an awful lot invested in Hizballah. It'd be interesting to see how they convince their people that they should risk war with the United States over a bunch of thugs in the Bekka Valley. If they hold off, their own credibility is shot - they backed down when faced with U.S. threats. If they actually risk a war with the U.S., they would face an open revolt in their country. But fortunately, this isn't either-or. So many evildoers, so little time . . . |